Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 13.600839 15.446126 17.400891 19.620798 22.066649 24.673973 27.658307
2025-01-26 11.299346 13.904920 16.842122 20.378087 24.497963 29.124824 34.691196
2025-02-02 10.110074 13.354812 17.215781 22.099738 28.060078 35.042742 43.782312
2025-02-09 8.829172 12.472449 17.032420 23.067747 30.745354 40.080136 52.170111
2025-02-16 7.468937 11.269732 16.265726 23.168614 32.296046 43.777518 59.113760
2025-02-23 6.202465 9.991580 15.217154 22.741668 33.060736 46.457709 64.865585
2025-03-02 5.231407 8.974774 14.378062 22.463749 33.929372 49.245572 70.827805
2025-03-09 4.536588 8.256671 13.858290 22.540028 35.225833 52.605597 77.642498
2025-03-16 3.880919 7.497945 13.179150 22.292666 36.001597 55.242100 83.544816
2025-03-23 3.609113 7.323923 13.362527 23.320395 38.647492 60.569672 93.344400
2025-03-30 3.216666 6.883981 13.068633 23.568965 40.123294 64.268264 100.971951
2025-04-06 2.689419 6.120951 12.156498 22.745728 39.891604 65.443627 104.998675
2025-04-13 2.214911 5.390599 11.234406 21.849423 39.522062 66.450671 108.918842
2025-04-20 2.076589 5.302845 11.432826 22.840804 42.201772 72.154261 119.990747
2025-04-27 2.080955 5.511070 12.186907 24.836442 46.610316 80.672089 135.573201
2025-05-04 1.971040 5.457389 12.443013 25.968403 49.644997 87.173139 148.318524
2025-05-11 1.759832 5.144137 12.167564 26.120727 51.036557 91.142218 157.315889
2025-05-18 1.514176 4.706014 11.594880 25.674468 51.366971 93.417867 163.747309
2025-05-25 1.315707 4.343056 11.129970 25.382431 51.929030 96.062419 170.812559
2025-06-01 1.174870 4.098302 10.881582 25.475741 53.156307 99.811067 179.707668
2025-06-08 1.023638 3.794613 10.469143 25.207790 53.706843 102.442528 186.874493
2025-06-15 0.986000 3.802050 10.749763 26.346921 56.874306 109.554104 201.479238
2025-06-22 0.895007 3.636289 10.615683 26.623594 58.449452 114.012833 211.867263